söndag 3 januari 2016

Watchlist 2016


Thought it could be nice to share some part of my tracking list of stocks I am following. I will not reveal the whole part at once and will start with 15 stocks per month to keep the interest for the blog higher.

Important to highlight here is that the "Buy price" is not a deep analysis of the company, its a value I get when inserting the stock into a formula and rounded to the closest integer. As soon as the stock starting to trade close to my buy price I will go further with more complete analysis of the stock before the purchase. This means in other words that I could buy the stock for a higher price than my buy price in the watchlist and not buy even if the price is below my target. 

Below could you see 15 stocks of my watchlist

Name Price ATM      Buy price % Target
AIG (AIG:US) 61.97 USD 50 USD 1.2394
Betsson (BETSB:SS) 155.5 SEK 110 SEK 1.413636
Chubb (CB:US) 132.64 USD 100 USD 1.3264
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG:US) 479.85 USD 550 USD 0.872455
Gjensidige Forsikring (GJF:NO) 142.1 USD 110 USD 1.291818
Hennes & Mauritz (HMB:SS) 302.1 SEK 295 SEK 1.024068
Coca-Cola (KO:US) 42.96 USD 37 USD 1.161081
MasterCard (MA:US) 97.36 USD 91 USD 1.06989
Nike (NKE:US) 62.5 USD 57 USD 1.096491
Protector Forsikring (PROTCT:NO) 73.5 NOK 55 NOK 1.336364
Starbucks (SBUX:US) 60.03 USD 55 USD 1.091455
Handelsbanken (SHBB:SS) 116.3 SEK 100 SEK 1.163
Travelers Cos (TRV:US) 112.86 USD 100 USD 1.1286
Visa (V:US) 77.55 USD 70 USD 1.107857
Walmart (WMT:US) 61.3 USD 51 USD 1.201961

As you could see is a lot of stocks not below my buy price. The reason for this is probably because the stock market at the moment has a pretty high valuation compared to historic prices and that the interest rates are low. Which makes the cash available to flood to the stock market for a chance of higher returns.

Only Chipotle (CMG:US) are below my buy price and I have been buying on the way down a lot and the company as a position are now the biggest in my portfolio. Chipotle is trading this low due to a E.Coli and a Norovirus outbreak in November 2015 which lead to pressure on the shares.
I am confident that the company will overcome this over the upcoming two years and Chipotle will come back as the baby it was for Wall Street. In the past restaurant chains had similiar bigger outbreaks and I do not see this outbreak as a threat to Chipotle's future. More regarding the outbreaks and comparison to peers in the industry could be read here* from Alex Dumortier at the Motley fool.

My last purchase was Hennes & Mauritz at 296 SEK per share, which is a good company with a solid dividend and should be part of all long term investors portfolio.

I wish you all the best for 2016!

Best regards,
EWI


This should not be taken as a financial or any kind of advice and all the numbers on this blog could be incorrectly. I am not taking any responsibility for individuals using this information and all individuals using this information is using it on their own risk. 
*http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2015/12/22/contrarians-corner-chipotle-mexican-grills-shares.aspx

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